Peak Oil Data

United States oil production by week: (conventional and non-conventional) updates Wednesdays. Probably you’ll look and see peak production of oil teetering along around the upper 13,000 thousand barrels per day throughout 2025 and maybe 2026. When it drops much below 13K, I’ll expect it’s not coming back. This is the most up to the date graph. Given the United States is currently the world’s number one producer, I suspect as it goes, so goes the Western world. And the rest of the world is no picnic either. Also the EIA, generally optimistic, is predicting a “slight” production turn down in 2026 and further in 2027. A turn down in production in 2026 and further in 2027 is suggestive of a peak in 2025.

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World oil production by month: (conventional and non-conventional) Updated monthly through May of 2025, but only goes back 5 years without a subscription. Back when I started watching this site in 2020, it showed a peak in November 2018 of 84.49 million barrels a day.

World oil production by year: (conventional and non-conventional). This graph appears to be updated annually with a year delay, and looks more optimistic, showing a peak in 2024. I think it might differ from the October 2018 peak, by being an average for the year, rather than a monthly spike. It does however, go back many years and does not require a paid subscription. It’s also given in “terawatt hours of energy” rather than in barrels, so that might affect it also. Still this one lets you graph any country individually, and/or the world in total and it goes back to 1900 for free.

EIA crude oil production: No graph but the top line is updated to Q3 2025, for world, the United States and other countries. It only shows 2024-25, with world production in the rage of 76-79 (and change) million barrels per day. I will monitor to see if it’s continually updated or replaced by a different PDF/url.\


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